讲座主题：Education Policy, Family Migration, and Service Sector Growth in China

主讲嘉宾：黄子彬 上海财经大学商学院 副教授

讲座时间：2026年11月12日（周四）9:30

讲座地点：中央财经大学沙河校区学院楼11号楼203

嘉宾简介：黄子彬，上海财经大学商学院副教授。主要研究领域包括劳动经济学、教育经济学与城市经济学，长期关注中国城镇化、人口流动及流动家庭子女教育等问题。研究成果发表于International Economic Review、Quantitative Economics、LabourEconomics、Journal of Development Economics、Journal of Comparative Economics以及《世界经济》等国内外重要学术期刊。

内容摘要：This study investigates the impact of education policies on family migration decisions and service sector growth in China. Cities often restrict migrant children's enrollment in urban public schools, which tends to keep both children and their mothers in their hometowns. Using a shift-share design, we show that relaxing these enrollment policies encourages the migration of children and their mothers from rural areas. We then develop a quantitative general equilibrium model that incorporates labor–housework time allocation, family migration decisions, urban sectoral choices, and children's school enrollment. The model reveals that education restrictions hinder female migration more than male migration, contributing to the relatively slow growth of China's urban service sector. This, in turn, affects household service prices and the labor supply of urban female workers. Counterfactual analysis predicts that eliminating enrollment restrictions would increase migration, labor supply, productivity, and GDP growth.